AgImpactsPolicy research and evaluation
Economic analysis and advisory work for policymakers and researchers, with a focus on evaluating the Common Agricultural Policy and consulting the people it affects.
Example: EU CAP Evaluation Helpdesk, DG AGRI
Agricultural economics · EU policy · Data
Economic evidence for agricultural policy.
Independent research, data analysis and AI document tools for the European Commission, the EIB and the consultancies that work with them. PhD in economics, 14 years in the field.
Commissioned by and delivered with
- 14+
- years in agricultural economics and EU policy
- 11
- European Commission DGs and agencies served
- 25+
- studies and advisory projects since 2022
- p < 0.05
- the only threshold I never lower
Services
What I do
Three kinds of work, often combined in one project.
Data analysis and modelling
Quantitative pipelines built for agricultural data, from raw statistics to econometric models and the dashboards that explain them.
Example: Farm Practices Explorer
AI document analysis
Turn thousands of PDFs, such as regulations, evaluation reports and programme documents, into a structured, searchable database.
Selected work
Studies, reports and papers
A selection of advisory projects, then publications, most recent first.
Selected projects
-
2026
Screening CAP Strategic Plans for digitalisation content
EU CAP Network thematic working group · DG AGRI
AI-driven classification of every intervention in the 28 CAP Strategic Plans against a farm digitalisation taxonomy, backed by verbatim evidence, delivered as a searchable dataset.
-
2026
Financial instruments for sustainable agri-food supply chains
European Investment Bank · EAFRD study
Scientific advisor on methodology and co-author of the final report on how value-chain finance can support competitiveness, the green transition and small farms.
-
2025
Regulations affecting farmers: inventory of requirements
DG AGRI, European Commission
Custom AI extraction tools built a database of 27,000 requirements from the CAP and national rules, then classified them by theme, economic aspect and type of action.
-
2024
Evaluation of the Nitrates Directive: cost modelling
European Commission
Compliance and administrative costs of the Nitrates Directive for farmers and authorities, modelled with the Standard Cost Model.
-
2023
Mission “A Soil Deal for Europe”: impact dashboard
REA, European Commission · Horizon Europe
Built and maintained the analytical dashboard that tracks the impact of the Mission Soil’s activities.
-
2022
European Evaluation Helpdesk for the CAP
DG AGRI, European Commission
Evaluation advisory on method, data and economic analysis: guidance on evaluating income support, a database of CAP interventions, and good-practice workshops.
-
2022
Impact modelling of agri-food value-chain investments
FMO, Dutch entrepreneurial development bank
Review of the Joint Impact Model behind FMO’s employment and value-added projections, with recommendations to improve its results.
Publications
-
2024
Assessment of result-based unit amounts or interventions
European Commission, DG AGRI
Thematic report on the potential and implementation of result-based payments under the CAP.
-
2023
Risks and vulnerabilities in the EU food supply chain
Joint Research Centre
With Bertolozzi-Caredio, Severini, Zinnanti et al.
-
2022
Agricultural grain markets in the COVID-19 crisis
Sustainability (MDPI) · peer-reviewed
A GVAR model of grain market dynamics during the pandemic. With Gutierrez and Sabbagh.
-
2022
Agri-food imports and EU supply chains
European Commission
The role of agri-food imports in EU supply chains and their strategic implications.
-
2021
Weather shocks, traders’ expectations, and food prices
American Journal of Agricultural Economics · peer-reviewed
How weather shocks shape trader expectations and food prices. With Letta and Montalbano.
-
2020
Financial needs in agriculture: EU summary
fi-compass (EIB / European Commission)
Financial needs across the agriculture and agri-food sectors of the EU, plus a country report for Belgium.
-
2020
Crisis prevention and management in agriculture
European Commission
Final report on criteria and strategies for crisis prevention and management in the agricultural sector.
-
2019
Cross-country maize market linkages in Africa: integration and price transmission across local and global markets
Agricultural Economics · peer-reviewed
A global VAR model of how price shocks spread across 27 sub-Saharan African maize markets. With Kaminski.
-
2018
The effect of the National Food Reserve Agency on maize market prices in Tanzania
Review of Development Economics · peer-reviewed
Time-series evidence on whether a public grain reserve’s buying and selling moved regional maize prices. With Pauw and Magrini.
About
Guillaume Pierre
I’m an agricultural economist. For 14 years I’ve worked on EU agricultural policy, food markets and rural finance, for institutions that need the numbers to hold up.
My work ranges from peer-reviewed econometrics, such as weather shocks and food prices in the American Journal of Agricultural Economics, to CAP evaluation guidance for DG AGRI and financial-needs studies for the EIB’s fi-compass platform.
I work independently or as part of consortia with firms such as Ecorys, EY and PwC, in French and English.
Angel syndicate
AgImpacts Ventures
A syndicate of business angels, set up with BeAngels, investing in startups that build tools for farmers.
We back early-stage companies in Belgium, the Netherlands and France whose tools help farmers tackle one of four challenges.
- Soil health
- Biodiversity
- Greenhouse gas emissions
- Water use and pollution
- Ticket
- From €25,000 per startup, pooled across members. No minimum individual contribution.
- Criteria
- Fit with the impact thesis, the founding team, traction and roadmap, and how widely the solution applies.
- Portfolio
- RegenRate · Ponda Bio · Cearitis (acquired by AgriOdor)
Open tools
Free, interactive resources built from this work.
Farm Practices ExplorerBrowse sustainable farm practices and their effects
Ecosystem MapInvestors and startups in European agtech and sustainabilityWork in progress
CAP Post-2027What the proposals for the next CAP changeWork in progress
CAP SimulatorTest how payment scenarios play outWork in progress
Have a policy question that needs numbers?
Tell me what you’re evaluating, investing in or deciding. A short call is usually enough to see whether I can help.
Book a discovery call → guillaume@agimpacts.com